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国际货币基金组织:2024跨界回响:撒哈拉以南非洲冲突的宏观经济溢出效应报告(英文版)

  • 2024年06月28日
  • 50 金币

This paper quantifies the macroeconomic spillover effects of conflict within sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries using a new Conflict Spillover Index (CSI), which accounts for conflict intensity and distance from conflict-affected countries. Our findings reveal an escalation in conflict spillovers across SSA since 2011, marked by considerable cross-country heterogeneity. Impulse responses show that conflict spillovers shocks significantly and persistently hinder economic growth, while concurr

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